U.S. doesn’t believe Iran tries to build a bomb…still scared however

Posted on February 24, 2012


usa vs iranIran seems to be standing alone in its battle for keeping rights for developing nuclear energy. Both U.S.A. and Europe actively try to pressure Iran through sanctions, to make it stop. Iran’s economy is being hit right and left, while in fact, the U.S. doesn’t even believe that Iran has a nuclear bomb.

To be more precise: U.S. intelligence agencies don’t believe Iran is actively trying to build a bomb.

Iran has made its share of aggressive statements about the war, however many believe its just talk for the masses. In fact, Iran has a lot of problems to take care of, the biggest of which is country’s economy. The U.S. and Israeli officials talk publicly about the prospect of a military strike against Iran’s nuclear program, however the fact remains a fact: no one has actually proved that Iran has nuclear weapons, or plans to build an atomic bomb.

According to L.A. Times, a highly classified U.S. intelligence assessment circulated to policymakers early last year largely affirms that view, originally made in 2007. Both reports, known as national intelligence estimates, conclude that Tehran halted efforts to develop and build a nuclear warhead in 2003.

The most recent report, which represents the consensus of 16 U.S. intelligence agencies, indicates that Iran is pursuing research that could put it in a position to build a weapon, but that it has not sought to do so.

Although Iran continues to enrich uranium at low levels, U.S. officials say they have not seen evidence that has caused them to significantly revise that judgment.

What does that mean? It means the U.S. is afraid that Iran can continue enriching the uranium, and producing nuclear energy, and one day just “be able” to make a nuclear bomb, if it decides to. So, in order to prevent that “until its too late” the U.S. and Europe started pouring sanctions on Iran. Although Iran claims the sanctions have no effect on country’s economy, they in fact do.

Israel regards Iran as a threat to its existence and says it will not allow Iran to become capable of building and delivering a nuclear weapon. Some Israeli officials have raised the prospect of a military strike to stop Iran before it’s too late.

A few days ago, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, insisted that Tehran had no intention of producing nuclear weapons. In remarks broadcast on state television, he said that “owning a nuclear weapon is a big sin.”

One can say, that since Khamenei is a religious man, plus a Supreme Leader of Iran, a “sin” for him does mean something, which in turn means that Iran really is not taking any chances with the nuclear weapon. This remains to be seen, however.

Khamenei also said that “pressure, sanctions and assassinations” would not stop Iran from producing nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. For now, U.S. military and intelligence officials say they don’t believe Iran’s leadership has made the decision to build a bomb.

What is the biggest difference between Obama (U.S. president) and Ahmadinejad (Iran’s president)? I’ll tell you – Obama can make decisions on his own, while Ahmadinejad cannot start a war, unless the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei gives his blessings. So, in the end, its Khamenei’s word. And since Khamenei fought in the infamous “Iran-Iraq” war in the 80s, he does know what real war is. If Iran is attacked, the whole region will turn into one huge battleground, where hardly anyone will be spared.

ahmadinejad obamaIt is not known precisely what other technical hurdles Iran would have to overcome, but many experts believe that if it decides to proceed, the country has the scientific knowledge to design and build a crude working bomb in as little as a year. It would take as long as three years.

With the sanctions continuing, Iran continues to develop its nuclear program as well. Some developments have bolstered the view that Iran is secretly pursuing a weapon. In 2009, Western intelligence agencies discovered a clandestine underground facility called Fordow, near the city of Qom, that is said to be capable of housing 3,000 centrifuges for enriching uranium.

Israel worries that such facilities may be invulnerable to conventional bombing if Iran begins building a weapon. Israeli officials have warned that Iran could create what they call a “zone of immunity” by year’s end.

I am sure that before the year ends, there will be a lot to talk about, since officially the sanctions on Iran come into force this Summer, and Iran has to be thinking about its crippled economy, and how to sustain it.